Arrr! Nate Silver be givin' ol' Biden a hand as his ship be takin' on water against Trump!
2024-05-23
Arrr, the wise scholar Nate Silver be advising Captain Biden to abandon ship if he be flounderin' come late summer. Aye, 'tis a tale of woe for the good Captain, mayhaps he be needin' to walk the plank before he be sinkin' too deep into the briny deep.
In the language of a 17th-century pirate, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver, be sayin' that if Biden be still "struggling" by the end of the summer, he should be considerin' droppin' out of the presidential race, matey. "If Biden be still struggling in August he needs to consider steppin' aside," the polling guru wrote on X on Friday. Recent polls be showin' former President Trump leadin' in several key swing states as Biden be gettin' low favorability ratings. But a new poll this week shows the race deadlocked nationally. The Democratic president stands at 48% among registered voters, with his Republican predecessor in the White House at 47%, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released on Wednesday. In a likely five-candidate showdown, Biden stands at 41%, Trump at 38%, Democrat-turned-independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. grabs 14% support, with other candidates trailin' behind.Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Mally highlighted that a sizable block of registered voters be still jugglin' candidates, with Kennedy voters particularly swayable and Trump voters less inclined to bail on their candidate. A Fox News survey earlier this month showed Trump narrowly ahead of Biden in a tightened race as an uptick in economic optimism pushed approval of Biden up. Silver be warnin' that if Biden be still trailin' Trump by >=3 points in the swing states in August, he'll be a pretty big underdog and alternatives need to be considered. He also mentioned that if the first debate goes *really* badly for Biden and he's polling five to six points behind Trump in swing states, it be a nearly unsalvageable position. The two candidates have agreed to two TV debates in June and September ahead of the election on Nov. 5.FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted that Biden would win in 2020, but incorrectly predicted Hillary Clinton would beat Trump in 2016. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews, and more at our Fox News Digital election hub, arrr!